MIL-OSI USA: SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 226

7

Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL6

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 226
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1125 AM EDT Mon May 16 2022

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western to central New York
Northeast Pennsylvania
Lake Ontario

* Effective this Monday morning and afternoon from 1125 AM until
400 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include…
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY…Intensifying storms are expected into this afternoon as
activity spreads northeast from central Pennsylvania and western New
York, with a mix of damaging winds and hail anticipated.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles north northeast
of Syracuse NY to 10 miles south southeast of Wilkesbarre PA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 225…

AVIATION…A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
24035.

…Grams

SEL6

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 226
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1125 AM EDT Mon May 16 2022

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western to central New York
Northeast Pennsylvania
Lake Ontario

* Effective this Monday morning and afternoon from 1125 AM until
400 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include…
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY…Intensifying storms are expected into this afternoon as
activity spreads northeast from central Pennsylvania and western New
York, with a mix of damaging winds and hail anticipated.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles north northeast
of Syracuse NY to 10 miles south southeast of Wilkesbarre PA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION…CONTINUE…WW 225…

AVIATION…A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
24035.

…Grams

Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 226 SEVERE TSTM NY PA LO 161525Z – 162000Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55NNE SYR/SYRACUSE NY/ – 10SSE AVP/WILKESBARRE PA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /47NNE SYR – 37N ETX/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.

LAT…LON 43857439 41197440 41197690 43857700

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.

Watch 226 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

Note:  Click for Complete Product Text.TornadoesProbability of 2 or more tornadoes

Low (10%)

Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes

Low (5%)

WindProbability of 10 or more severe wind events

Mod (60%)

Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots

Low (20%)

HailProbability of 10 or more severe hail events

Mod (30%)

Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches

Low (20%)

Combined Severe Hail/WindProbability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

High (80%)

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), “Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.

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