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MIL OSI Translation. Region: Germany / Deutschland –

Source: Destatis Federal Statistical Office

Press release No. 523 from December 18, 2020

WIESBADEN – According to preliminary results, at least 19,600 people died in Germany in the 47th calendar week (November 16-22, 2020). As reported by the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), the number of deaths in this period is around 9% above the average for the years 2016 to 2019. This is the result of a special analysis of the provisional deaths that is currently available up to the 47th calendar week.

The number of COVID-19 deaths is increasing significantly

The number of deaths of people previously laboratory-confirmed with COVID-19 is currently increasing from week to week. In the 47th calendar week, there were a total of 1,887 COVID-19 deaths reported to the Robert Koch Institute (RKI). That was 390 cases more than in the previous week and 1,808 more than in the 40th calendar week.

Deaths in Saxony 46% above average

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2020 deaths in Germany by calendar weeks (KW)
Period
Total number2020
Difference to Ø 2016-2019
COVID-19 deaths
Relative difference to …
Ø 2016-2019
2016
2017
2018
2019
number
in %

KW 1-39
708 292
+9 204
9 468
+1
+6
+1
-2
+1
Week 40
17 522
+888
79
+5
+7
+5
+5
+4
Week 41
17 373
-16
116
0
0
-1
+2
-2
Week 42
17 607
+356
230
+2
0
+3
+6
-1
Week 43
18 422
+1 277
387
+7
+5
+8
+11
+6
Week 44
18 362
+1 181
746
+7
+4
+10
+9
+5
Week 45
18 774
+1 120
1 134
+6
+6
+8
+7
+5
Week 46
19 357
+1 540
1,497
+9
+4
+10
+15
+6
Week 47
19 600
+1 623
1,887
+9
+9
+11
+10
+6
KW 1-47
855 309
+17 173
15 544
+2
+5
+2
-1
+1

Clear findings on excess mortality in other European countries

The EuroMOMO network For the observation of mortality developments, reports currently an extremely high excess mortality (“extremely high excess”) for Switzerland and Slovenia for the 47th calendar week. Very high or high excess mortality (“very high excess” or “high excess”) is reported for Belgium, France, Italy, Austria and Spain. In other European countries, EuroMOMO determines a maximum of a “moderate excess” excess mortality for this calendar week.

Methodological notes on the death rate for Germany:

The effects of the previous development in the number of deaths on the entire 2020 calendar year cannot yet be estimated. For a final classification of temporary excess mortality, the entire course of the year must be considered. In addition, the number of deaths must be set in relation to the population in order, for example, to adequately include the aging process of the population.

Own evaluations of the annual course of the death rate are based on the special evaluation “Deaths – number of cases by days, weeks, months, age groups, gender and federal states for Germany from 2016 to 2020“Possible. The first preliminary data are presented for 2020. The provisional data is a pure case count of the death reports received from the registry offices without the usual plausibility check and completeness check of the data.

Legal regulations for reporting deaths to the registry office and differences in the reporting behavior of registry offices to official statistics mean that current statements on the number of deaths are possible with a delay of around four weeks. Due to the delayed reports, the results available for 2020 will increase slightly.

The provisional deaths relate to the day of death, not the reporting date. Since the reported COVID-19 deaths are also published by the RKI after the day of death with a delay of four weeks, a temporal comparison with the provisional total number of deaths is possible.

Further information:

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EDITOR’S NOTE: This article is a translation. Apologies should the grammar and / or sentence structure not be perfect.

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