MIL OSI Translation. Region: Germany / Deutschland –
Source: Destatis Federal Statistical Office
Incoming orders still 2.6% below pre-crisis levels
Press release No. 439 from November 5, 2020
Incoming orders in manufacturing September 2020 (real, provisional): + 0.5% on the previous month (seasonally and calendar adjusted) -1.9% on the same month last year (calendar adjusted)
August 2020 (real, revised): + 4.9% on the previous month (seasonally and calendar adjusted) -1.7% on the previous month (calendar adjusted)
WIESBADEN – According to provisional data from the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), real (price-adjusted) incoming orders in the manufacturing sector were 0.5% higher in September 2020 than in August 2020, seasonally and calendar-adjusted. Compared to September 2019, there was a calendar-adjusted decrease of 1.9%. Without considering Bulk orders In September 2020, real order intake in the manufacturing sector was 4.5% higher than in August 2020, seasonally and calendar adjusted
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The corona crisis has been shaping developments in the manufacturing industry for several months. Compared to February 2020, the month before the restrictions caused by the corona pandemic in Germany, the order intake in September 2020 was 2.6% lower, seasonally and calendar adjusted.
Compared to the previous month, domestic orders rose by 2.3% in September 2020, while international orders fell by 0.8%. Incoming orders from the Eurozone fell by 6.0%. Incoming orders from the rest of the world rose by 2.7%.
In the case of manufacturers of intermediate goods, incoming orders in September 2020 were 4.0% above the previous month’s level. On the other hand, there was a decrease of 2.0% for manufacturers of capital goods and orders for consumer goods rose by 2.6%.
In the largest manufacturing sector, the automotive industry, incoming orders increased further in September 2020 (+ 5.1% on the previous month) and are thus 5.8% above the pre-crisis level in February 2020 September 2020 a decrease of 3.7% on the previous month, compared to February 2020 it is 8.2% lower.
For August 2020, after revision of the preliminary results, there was an overall increase of 4.9% compared to July 2020 (preliminary value: + 4.5%).
Sales: +1.1% seasonally adjusted on the previous month
According to preliminary data, real sales in manufacturing in September 2020, seasonally and calendar adjusted, were 1.1% higher than in the previous month. Compared to February 2020, the month before the restrictions due to the corona pandemic in Germany began, sales in September 2020 were 8.9% lower, seasonally and calendar adjusted. The revisions did not result in any changes in earnings for August 2020. The decrease of 0.1% compared to July 2020 was thus confirmed.
In the automotive industry, sales in September 2020 increased by 1.1% compared to the previous month and are 8.4% below the value in February 2020.
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European manufacturing data
Data on the Turnover in industry in other EU countries, see the database of the European Statistical Office (Eurostat). Germany is one of the first countries to provide Eurostat with monthly data for this.
Methodological notes: The different comparison periods must be observed in all reports on economic indicators. The focus of the economic observation is the comparison with the previous month / quarter. The short-term economic development can be read from this. The comparison with the previous year serves as a longer-term level comparison and is independent of seasonal fluctuations. In the current Corona crisis, the strong declines in particular in March / April 2020 and the recovery that has been slowly returning since then can lead to very different results compared to the previous month / quarter and the previous year. Both perspectives are important: How is the economic development compared to the previous month / previous quarter, and how far is the catching-up process compared to the previous year’s level? In order to enable a direct comparison to the pre-crisis level, a comparison to February 2020 and the 4th quarter of 2019 will be shown in all press releases on economic indicators that are available seasonally adjusted for the time being.
The data on incoming orders and sales are based on the volume index for the manufacturing industry, seasonally and calendar adjusted using the X13 JDemetra + method.
Incoming orders and sales are recorded and evaluated in the structure of the “Classification of economic sectors, 2008 edition (WZ 2008)”. The Incoming orders only in selected industries of the manufacturing sector.
Results in more detail and long time series can be called up in the GENESIS-Online database. Incoming orders indices (42151-0004) as Incoming orders indices without large orders (42151-0008) and Sales indices (42152-0004).
Crisis monitor enables comparison between the corona crisis and the financial and economic crisis
The incoming orders index is also part of the “Crisis monitor“(Www.destatis.de/krisenmonitor), with which the Federal Statistical Office compares the development of important economic indicators in the Corona crisis and in the financial and economic crisis of 2008/2009. The “Crisis monitor“Supplements the special page”Corona statistics“, Which has been bundling statistical information on the economic and social consequences of the corona pandemic since the beginning of April
German EU Council Presidency in the field of statistics
During the EU Council Presidency, chaired by President Dr. Georg Thiel the Council Working Group on Statistics. We provide information about our activities during the EU Council Presidency on the special page www.destatis.de/eu2020.
You can find European statistics in our data “Europe in numbers“.
Contact for more information
Business surveys in manufacturing
Phone: +49 (0) 611/75 28 06
EDITOR’S NOTE: This article is a translation. Apologies should the grammar and / or sentence structure not be perfect.