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Source: Destatis Federal Statistical Office

Order backlog 0.2% below the pre-crisis level

Press release No. 413 from October 19, 2020

Order backlog in manufacturing, August 2020 + 1.0% real on the previous month (seasonally and calendar adjusted) Range of the order backlog: 6.4 months

WIESBADEN – According to preliminary data from the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), the real (price-adjusted) order backlog in the manufacturing sector was 1.0% higher in August 2020 than in the previous month, seasonally and calendar adjusted. The outstanding domestic orders increased by 0.6% compared to July 2020. The backlog of foreign orders rose by 1.1%. Compared to February 2020, the month before the restrictions caused by the corona pandemic in Germany, the order backlog in August 2020 was 0.2% lower, seasonally and calendar adjusted.

Cannot load diagram

The order backlog for manufacturers of intermediate goods was 1.1% higher in August 2020 than in July 2020. For manufacturers of capital goods, it rose by 0.9%. In the consumer goods segment, the order backlog was 2.4% higher than in July 2020.

The range of the order backlog increased slightly and amounted to 6.4 months in the manufacturing sector in August 2020 (July 2020: 6.3 months). For manufacturers of intermediate goods, the order backlog in August 2020 was 3.1 months (July 2020: 3.0 months). It was 9.1 months for manufacturers of capital goods (July 2020: 8.9 months) and 2.5 months for consumer goods (July 2020: 2.4 months).

The range indicates how many months the companies would theoretically have to produce in order to process the existing orders if sales remained the same without new incoming orders. It is calculated as the quotient of the current order backlog and average sales over the last 12 months in the relevant industry.

Methodological notes:

The different comparison periods must be taken into account in all reports on economic indicators. The focus of the economic observation is the comparison with the previous month / quarter. The short-term economic development can be read from this. The comparison with the previous year serves as a long-term level comparison and is independent of seasonal fluctuations. In the current Corona crisis, the strong declines in particular in March / April 2020 and the recovery that has been slowly returning since then can lead to very different results compared to the previous month / quarter and the previous year. Both perspectives are important: How is the economic development compared to the previous month / previous quarter, and how far is the catching up process compared to the previous year’s level? In order to enable a direct comparison to the pre-crisis level, a comparison to February 2020 and the 4th quarter of 2019 will be shown in all press releases on economic indicators that are available seasonally adjusted for the time being.

The order backlog comprises the total of incoming orders at the end of the reporting month that have not yet generated sales up to this point in time and that have not been canceled.

The data on the order backlog is based on the volume indices of the order backlog in the manufacturing sector, seasonally and calendar adjusted using the X13 JDemetra + method. The order backlog is recorded and evaluated in the structure of the “Classification of economic sectors, 2008 edition (WZ 2008)”. The order backlog and incoming orders are only recorded in selected branches of the manufacturing industry.

Additional Information:

The results on the order backlog in the manufacturing industry – also broken down by industry – are, in addition to other indicators for classifying the economic consequences of the corona pandemic, on the special page “Corona statistics”Available on the website of the Federal Statistical Office.

Results in a more detailed structure can be called up in the GENESIS-Online database: Manufacturing Order backlog indexes (42155-0004) and Ranges of the order backlog (42113-0001).

Contact for more information

Business surveys in manufacturing

Phone: +49 (0) 611/75 28 06

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EDITOR’S NOTE: This article is a translation. Apologies should the grammar and / or sentence structure not be perfect.

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